Martyn Plummer
martynplummer.bsky.social
Martyn Plummer
@martynplummer.bsky.social

Statistics. Computing. Cancer Epidemiology. Public health.

Physics 31%
Public Health 25%

Effective Altruists only needed to speak to one economist who could explain why future utilities must be discounted. This could have prevented their descent into the madness of only caring about people who don’t exist (yet).
Next month the Cambridge Philosophical Society is hosting an event to celebrate David MacKay and his work on the tenth anniversary of his passing. The organizers are soliciting notes sharing how his work has impacted people -- you can submit at docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F....
A tribute to David MacKay
“I didn’t know David personally but was a great admirer of his work.” “David seemed to have infinite patience.” “He treated the audience with respect, trusted them with complexity, and showed that r...
docs.google.com

Reposted by Martyn Plummer

“We don’t have trustworthy news sources or socially responsible media at all any more. But on the plus side, a machine that lies and makes us all more ignorant and furious saves me up to £3 a week. Bargain.”

Reposted by Martyn Plummer

Offering you everything cheaper, or for nothing, costs you SO MUCH.

It’s a really expensive deal. You don’t win. Not in the end.

WHO removing Us Flag

This has been a long time coming. The first withdrawal, announced in July 2020, was halted by Joe Biden on his first day in office on 20 January 2021. Donald Trump signed an executive order reaffirming the withdrawal on his return to office on 20 January 2025. One year later here we are.
who.int WHO @who.int · 17d
WHO statement on notification of withdrawal of the United States

WHO regrets the United States’ notification of withdrawal from WHO – a decision that makes both the United States and the world less safe.

Full statement: bit.ly/46dT0HF
WHO @who.int · 17d
WHO statement on notification of withdrawal of the United States

WHO regrets the United States’ notification of withdrawal from WHO – a decision that makes both the United States and the world less safe.

Full statement: bit.ly/46dT0HF
WHO removing Us Flag

Reposted by Martyn Plummer

*Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases: from Mathematics to Applications* Upcoming workshop in Warwick Stats, supported CRiSM, LMS and RSS. We aim to promote the transfer of ideas between the environmental modelling and infectious disease modelling communities.
http://go.warwick.ac...

Added to my Christmas list . Thanks.

About half way though Person of Interest in case you are wondering if I listen to your recommendations.

I live in Coventry South and can confirm. Sultana scraped in with a 401 majority in 2019. Her majority increased to 10000 in 2024 mainly because the Conservative vote plummeted. It was not a personal endorsement of her politics.

This is very sad news. John had an enormous influence over applied statistics through his books and software. It was always a pleasure to interact with him.
#rstats
It is with profound sadness I heard that my long-time friend and colleague, John Fox passed away this week.
He was the author of {car}, {effects}, {Rcmdr}, ... and numerous influential books. I will miss him greatly.
www.john-fox.ca
John Fox: Books and Software
www.john-fox.ca
#rstats
It is with profound sadness I heard that my long-time friend and colleague, John Fox passed away this week.
He was the author of {car}, {effects}, {Rcmdr}, ... and numerous influential books. I will miss him greatly.
www.john-fox.ca
John Fox: Books and Software
www.john-fox.ca
"Unfortunately, due to a terrible miscalculation of scale, the entire 28-point peace plan was eaten by a small dog."

Tim Capello in The Lost Boys (1987) was peak sax. It was all downhill from there.

Reposted by Martyn Plummer

#TodayinHistory #dataviz #OTD 📊
💀Nov 18, 1887 Gustav Theodor Fechner died in Leipzig, Germany 🇩🇪

1850: Fechner's Law: the subjective sensation is proportional to the log of stimulus intensity. This is a core idea behind accuracy of visual encoding of data -- eg, length > angle > area > color
Every ad now

student used some AI-assisted code to compute ROC stats with weights and the AI hallucinated pROC::roc(…, weights = weights). (the function doesn’t have a weights argument.) and because the function has a … argument, the fake weights argument was ignored without any warning

The No Kings protests in the UK today have been helpfully renamed “No Tyrants”, just to clarify that they don’t want to get rid of the actual king.

I think it’s plausible that, under the right conditions, life is common, but intelligent life is rare (it took billions of years on Earth). Without fossil fuels a sustainable industrial revolution might be next to impossible so industrial civilisations are even more rare.

“All that was once directly lived has become mere representation”
- Guy Debord, The Society of the Spectacle (1967)

Reposted by Martyn Plummer

AI can’t raise the dead, but it might do the next best thing on.ft.com/4gFXyus | opinion
AI can’t raise the dead, but it might do the next best thing
Rapid advances in generative AI and voice technology mean communicating with the deceased will no longer be sci-fi
on.ft.com

"The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists." - Hannah Arendt
lbc.co.uk LBC @lbc.co.uk · Sep 24
"We were told thalidomide was a safe drug and it wasn't..."

Nigel Farage says he has 'no idea' if Donald Trump is right about paracetamol being linked to autism.
LBC @lbc.co.uk · Sep 24
"We were told thalidomide was a safe drug and it wasn't..."

Nigel Farage says he has 'no idea' if Donald Trump is right about paracetamol being linked to autism.

Reposted by Martyn Plummer

There are a couple of vacancies in Wollongong for Maths/Stats lecturers:

www.uow.edu.au/about/jobs/j...
www.uow.edu.au

People have been predicting the end of the world for some time and they’ve all been wrong so far. When the world failed to end in 1844, the Millerite movement called it “The Great Disappointment“. I don’t suppose that sentiment was widely shared.

Yes. Melanoma is not the most common cancer in Australia but the others appear later. So when you restrict the picture to under-50s you get high peaks in Australia but also N Europe. Data from the IARC Global Cancer Observatory gco.iarc.who.int/en

Reposted by Martyn Plummer

R Developer Day at University of Warwick brought together R-Ladies from around the world 🌎.

Spaces like this remind us how powerful our global community is when we learn, collaborate and build together.

Thanks to Heather Turner for making this possible 💜

#RDevDay
#rladies
LBC @lbc.co.uk · Sep 7
"It got the debate going and that's why we put him on."

Reform’s Laila Cunningham explains why her party allowed a 'quack' to falsely claim that the Covid vaccines gave the King cancer.