Dan Seitz
@dseitz.bsky.social
Marketing guy, former paid blogger, current commerce content guy. #juggling #cycling #comics #film #gaming. All opinions strictly my own. He/him
Pinned
Dan Seitz
@dseitz.bsky.social
· Jan 17
If you want to understand #climate first you need to understand how emissions are calculated. Let's do that with my wedding ring, my ally bracelet, and my cycling cuff.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
How long before this guy loses his job for not playing along with the "massive fraud" story?
And why are they all such whiners about being followed and watched instead of welcomed? Did they expect people to line the streets and cheer and applaud for them?
And why are they all such whiners about being followed and watched instead of welcomed? Did they expect people to line the streets and cheer and applaud for them?
Deputy HHS Secretary Jim O'Neill says on Fox that he personally went to Minnesota to investigate fraud but makes clear he found nothing, instead complaining that "a woman in a fancy car spotted us, gave us an unfriendly gesture and actually followed us for about 10 minutes."
January 16, 2026 at 9:29 PM
How long before this guy loses his job for not playing along with the "massive fraud" story?
And why are they all such whiners about being followed and watched instead of welcomed? Did they expect people to line the streets and cheer and applaud for them?
And why are they all such whiners about being followed and watched instead of welcomed? Did they expect people to line the streets and cheer and applaud for them?
Reposted by Dan Seitz
ICE detained people while waiting in line at a food pantry.
Again, ICE DETAINED PEOPLE WHILE WAITING IN LINE AT A FOOD PANTRY.
Again, ICE DETAINED PEOPLE WHILE WAITING IN LINE AT A FOOD PANTRY.
ICE detained people waiting at a food pantry, Salvation Army says
A foodbank in New Jersey cautioned its partners to have a plan in place in case of an ICE raid.
www.nj.com
January 16, 2026 at 8:35 PM
ICE detained people while waiting in line at a food pantry.
Again, ICE DETAINED PEOPLE WHILE WAITING IN LINE AT A FOOD PANTRY.
Again, ICE DETAINED PEOPLE WHILE WAITING IN LINE AT A FOOD PANTRY.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
A thought, looking forward, at the strategy of the anti-Trump coalition, given the pattern we've seen, DHS will begin probably soon, drawing down forces in Minneapolis and going to harass some other place.
It'll be useful to frame this as 'ICE defeated' and a 'retreat' - they are 'fleeing.'
It'll be useful to frame this as 'ICE defeated' and a 'retreat' - they are 'fleeing.'
January 16, 2026 at 8:52 PM
A thought, looking forward, at the strategy of the anti-Trump coalition, given the pattern we've seen, DHS will begin probably soon, drawing down forces in Minneapolis and going to harass some other place.
It'll be useful to frame this as 'ICE defeated' and a 'retreat' - they are 'fleeing.'
It'll be useful to frame this as 'ICE defeated' and a 'retreat' - they are 'fleeing.'
Reposted by Dan Seitz
they're saying eric is going to do a 48 hr coding marathon livestream
January 17, 2026 at 12:10 AM
they're saying eric is going to do a 48 hr coding marathon livestream
Reposted by Dan Seitz
bo bichette looks kind of like the guy who lived on the floor below me in college and smoked an outrageous amount of weed
this is my analysis of the baseball offseason
this is my analysis of the baseball offseason
January 17, 2026 at 12:11 AM
bo bichette looks kind of like the guy who lived on the floor below me in college and smoked an outrageous amount of weed
this is my analysis of the baseball offseason
this is my analysis of the baseball offseason
Reposted by Dan Seitz
got a new job
this means as a researcher i can call myself an evidence sorcerer
January 15, 2026 at 11:51 PM
got a new job
Reposted by Dan Seitz
FYI: Black faith leaders are part of pushback to ICE/DHS, but as my colleague Adelle reports here, if major Black church leaders start to get even *more* heavily involved, that is not a small thing.
My @rns.org story: religionnews.com/2026/01/16/b...
Black church leaders aid Minneapolis, seek laws curtailing federal agents' mask usage
(RNS) — Minneapolis-area AME Church officials stated Renee Good’s death 'never should have happened' and listed more than a dozen ways they have tried to meet community needs there.
religionnews.com
January 17, 2026 at 12:13 AM
FYI: Black faith leaders are part of pushback to ICE/DHS, but as my colleague Adelle reports here, if major Black church leaders start to get even *more* heavily involved, that is not a small thing.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
i keep beating this drum, but the fulcrum on which notional democratic advantage rests is mid-sized cities and suburbs catching up with national urban/rural polarization
January 16, 2026 at 7:26 PM
i keep beating this drum, but the fulcrum on which notional democratic advantage rests is mid-sized cities and suburbs catching up with national urban/rural polarization
Reposted by Dan Seitz
also the three biggest blinking light trends for dems were youth, urban minority, and latino vote and i think its fairly like those reverse quite considerably in 2026
January 16, 2026 at 7:21 PM
also the three biggest blinking light trends for dems were youth, urban minority, and latino vote and i think its fairly like those reverse quite considerably in 2026
Reposted by Dan Seitz
Also the idea that a turnover of 10-15 electoral college votes will completely turn around the results is insanity, considering nobody has won the electoral college with fewer than 300 votes in over twenty years.
January 16, 2026 at 6:23 PM
Also the idea that a turnover of 10-15 electoral college votes will completely turn around the results is insanity, considering nobody has won the electoral college with fewer than 300 votes in over twenty years.
Bar anything else these kinds of statements seem to never bother to look at demographics. Florida went red because every Boomer Republican in a blue state retired there.
good lord its the reverse incoming “Democratic majority“ post-2008
we don’t know what the census will be, nobody thought Ohio would completely slip away or Georgia could become purple 15 years ago!
we don’t know what the census will be, nobody thought Ohio would completely slip away or Georgia could become purple 15 years ago!
January 16, 2026 at 9:43 PM
Bar anything else these kinds of statements seem to never bother to look at demographics. Florida went red because every Boomer Republican in a blue state retired there.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
good lord its the reverse incoming “Democratic majority“ post-2008
we don’t know what the census will be, nobody thought Ohio would completely slip away or Georgia could become purple 15 years ago!
we don’t know what the census will be, nobody thought Ohio would completely slip away or Georgia could become purple 15 years ago!
January 16, 2026 at 6:11 PM
good lord its the reverse incoming “Democratic majority“ post-2008
we don’t know what the census will be, nobody thought Ohio would completely slip away or Georgia could become purple 15 years ago!
we don’t know what the census will be, nobody thought Ohio would completely slip away or Georgia could become purple 15 years ago!
Reposted by Dan Seitz
“Yes, you are correct, the people at work are plotting behind your back. But destroying them will be easy — especially in a fresh pair of Levi’s.”
January 16, 2026 at 9:35 PM
“Yes, you are correct, the people at work are plotting behind your back. But destroying them will be easy — especially in a fresh pair of Levi’s.”
Reposted by Dan Seitz
I'll say again that this is little different from the gestapo going door to door rounding up Jews.
This week, I spoke with a St. Paul woman who told me ICE came to her door and asked her to report on her "Asian neighbors."
The Hmong community, the large majority of whom are in this country legally for decades now, is in hiding.
The Hmong community, the large majority of whom are in this country legally for decades now, is in hiding.
January 16, 2026 at 9:33 PM
I'll say again that this is little different from the gestapo going door to door rounding up Jews.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
This is what happens when you give Dems the keys.
The Virginia legislature today passed four constitutional amendments, all by day 3 of 2026 session:
—protect abortion rights
—repeal the same-sex marriage ban
—allow mid-decade redistricting
—greatly expand voting rights restoration.
These will all go to 2026 referendums.
—protect abortion rights
—repeal the same-sex marriage ban
—allow mid-decade redistricting
—greatly expand voting rights restoration.
These will all go to 2026 referendums.
January 16, 2026 at 9:33 PM
This is what happens when you give Dems the keys.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
“We have a simple problem of a market disconnect: We can put up a data center in 18 months and it takes five years to build a power plant"
Protip: 18 months to build a new solar plus storage power plant. Try that.
This is all about building more gas power.
Protip: 18 months to build a new solar plus storage power plant. Try that.
This is all about building more gas power.
The Trump administration laid out a plan intended to compel tech companies to effectively fund the construction of new power plants as a way to tame surging consumer utility bills while aiding the development of data centers
Trump Pushes for Emergency Power Auction to Fuel AI Boom
The Trump administration and several states laid out a plan intended to compel technology companies to effectively fund the construction of new power plants as a way to tame surging consumer utility bills while aiding the development of data centers.
bloom.bg
January 16, 2026 at 9:38 PM
“We have a simple problem of a market disconnect: We can put up a data center in 18 months and it takes five years to build a power plant"
Protip: 18 months to build a new solar plus storage power plant. Try that.
This is all about building more gas power.
Protip: 18 months to build a new solar plus storage power plant. Try that.
This is all about building more gas power.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
I rescheduled a food tour (my holiday gift to my partner) and I told the guide it's because we're prioritizing a solidarity demonstration against ICE that day.
Tour guide asked for details so he can come to the demo too 😊
Tour guide asked for details so he can come to the demo too 😊
January 16, 2026 at 9:38 PM
I rescheduled a food tour (my holiday gift to my partner) and I told the guide it's because we're prioritizing a solidarity demonstration against ICE that day.
Tour guide asked for details so he can come to the demo too 😊
Tour guide asked for details so he can come to the demo too 😊
Reposted by Dan Seitz
Reposted by Dan Seitz
Educated guesses on referendum margin:
Abortion rights: Yes +25
Voting rights: Yes +22
Gay marriage: Yes +50
Redistricting: Yes +10
Abortion rights: Yes +25
Voting rights: Yes +22
Gay marriage: Yes +50
Redistricting: Yes +10
The VA senate got to these today, and all passed as expected
Abortion rights: 21-18
Post-incarceration voting rights: 21-18
Gay marriage: 26-13
Redistricting: 21-18
April 21st is the first eligible Tuesday, so that’s my guess for referendum EDay
Abortion rights: 21-18
Post-incarceration voting rights: 21-18
Gay marriage: 26-13
Redistricting: 21-18
April 21st is the first eligible Tuesday, so that’s my guess for referendum EDay
the four VA constitutional amendments passed the HoD
Abortion rights: 64-34
Post-incarceration voting rights: 65-33
Gay marriage: 67-31
Redistricting: 62-33-1
Think the earliest referendum Election Day would be April 21, so early voting would start in early March
Abortion rights: 64-34
Post-incarceration voting rights: 65-33
Gay marriage: 67-31
Redistricting: 62-33-1
Think the earliest referendum Election Day would be April 21, so early voting would start in early March
January 16, 2026 at 6:53 PM
Educated guesses on referendum margin:
Abortion rights: Yes +25
Voting rights: Yes +22
Gay marriage: Yes +50
Redistricting: Yes +10
Abortion rights: Yes +25
Voting rights: Yes +22
Gay marriage: Yes +50
Redistricting: Yes +10
Reposted by Dan Seitz
these are some pretty catastrophic approval numbers for ICE mom-murderers
they will not improve
they will not improve
January 16, 2026 at 2:45 AM
these are some pretty catastrophic approval numbers for ICE mom-murderers
they will not improve
they will not improve
Reposted by Dan Seitz
This 57% negative view of ICE is almost exact inversion of a 1970 Gallup poll: 58% blamed the students for the killlings at Kent State. Only 11% blamed the National Guard (and 31% had “no opinion”). The world is dfferent yes, but we start from a new place.www.kentguardvoices1970.com/the-shooting...
January 16, 2026 at 3:44 PM
This 57% negative view of ICE is almost exact inversion of a 1970 Gallup poll: 58% blamed the students for the killlings at Kent State. Only 11% blamed the National Guard (and 31% had “no opinion”). The world is dfferent yes, but we start from a new place.www.kentguardvoices1970.com/the-shooting...
Reposted by Dan Seitz
Not my favorite trend. Nice find.
January 16, 2026 at 5:23 PM
Not my favorite trend. Nice find.
Reposted by Dan Seitz
One thing I wish people wouldn’t do when discussing trans equality in sports is resort to describing gender as an “arbitrary” category of difference in the vein of height or shoe size. People do not experience their identities as arbitrary facts about themselves!
January 16, 2026 at 6:56 PM
One thing I wish people wouldn’t do when discussing trans equality in sports is resort to describing gender as an “arbitrary” category of difference in the vein of height or shoe size. People do not experience their identities as arbitrary facts about themselves!
Reposted by Dan Seitz
Would it help if I did the Mean Girls meme and it said "stop trying to make gavin newsom happen"? Would that win any hearts and minds because I will do it
January 16, 2026 at 6:56 PM
Would it help if I did the Mean Girls meme and it said "stop trying to make gavin newsom happen"? Would that win any hearts and minds because I will do it