Stefano DellaVigna
sdellavi.bsky.social
Stefano DellaVigna
@sdellavi.bsky.social

Behavioral economists at UC Berkeley

Economics 32%
Business 27%

Check out new position for a 2-year pre-doc starting summer 2026. I work closely with the pre-doc (meeting daily) and will actively mentor towards PhD application. Pre-doc will work on multiple behavioral/applied micro projects. Posting: aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF05225
Junior Specialist / Assistant Specialist - Economics - Department of Economics
University of California, Berkeley is hiring. Apply now!
aprecruit.berkeley.edu

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

Dunning-Kruger effect in practice:

In 53k forecasts across 100 projects, people who are more confident are actually much less accurate.

New 📄 by @evavivalt.bsky.social & @sdellavi.bsky.social

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

Very interesting work by @evavivalt.bsky.social and @sdellavi.bsky.social. Particularly intriguing is the finding that a surprising negative relationship between confidence and accuracy is accounted for by a subset of persistently overconfident forecasters.
🚨 New working paper!

How well do people predict the results of studies?

@sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇
🚨 New working paper!

How well do people predict the results of studies?

@sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

Excited to announce our amazing lineup of speakers for the 2026 JDM preconference at SPSP!

Conference date: Feb 26th
Location: Chicago
Deadline to apply: Oct 23rd.

Application link: spsp.wufoo.com/forms/2026-p...

cc: @sdellavi.bsky.social, @hirshmansam.bsky.social, @vinisingh.bsky.social
Not quite sure how to put it all in words, but I just spent an extraordinary day celebrating my dissertation adviser, Larry Katz. Feeling grateful, proud, and (re-) inspired.

Larry has raised so many extraordinary economists that being in the same room as them was overwhelming.

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

📣 Interested in making more forecasts? Want to get paid for doing so? Apply for the SSPP Forecasting Panel! Panelists receive $400 a year + a $300 bonus for high accuracy.

Apply here: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/09...

@cega-uc.bsky.social @evavivalt.bsky.social @sdellavi.bsky.social
Apply to Join our SSPP Forecasting Panel 2.0!
Would you like to stay informed about the latest developments in social science research, assess your forecasting accuracy, and receive financial compensation for your participation in the process? Ap...
socialscienceprediction.org

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna

Nobel prize winner George Akerlof (my former colleague) on the firing of statistics officials:

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/03/o...
Opinion | What to Do When the President Acts Like a Five-Year-Old?
www.nytimes.com
Statement from the largest economics association about the BLS firing

As context: AEA approximately never makes such public statements

This is a big deal

Reposted by Stefano DellaVigna