Lucas Leemann
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lucasleemann.bsky.social
Lucas Leemann
@lucasleemann.bsky.social

Professor University of Zurich @ipz.bsky.social — interested in comparative politics & data science — representation, participation, direct democracy — @leewas.bsky.social — @bjpols.bsky.social — DigDemLab — Co-founder of
https://leewas.ch/ .. more

Political science 37%
Economics 12%
📣 We're hiring a postdoc in political science for our ReJust project @uni-konstanz.de!

Project with Dirk Leuffen @leuffen.bsky.social and Urs Fischbacher

3-year position | Deadline: Dec. 15, 2025 | Start: April 2026

Please share widely 🙏
Postdoctoral Research Position
Deadline: 15.12.2025
stellen.uni-konstanz.de
NEW ARTICLE: @palesl.bsky.social, Vesa Koskimaa and I have an letter out in JOP, "Politicians talk less about the future as they age" doi.org/10.1086/739406 (1/10)
Legislators talk less about the future as they age | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
doi.org
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.

🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

𝐕𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐠𝐭𝐞𝐬 𝐊𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐢𝐤𝐭𝐦𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐛𝐞𝐢 𝐝𝐞𝐫 «𝐈𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐟ü𝐫 𝐞𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐙𝐮𝐤𝐮𝐧𝐟𝐭»: Gemäss der 2. Welle der @20min.ch/Tamedia-Umfrage von @leewas.bsky.social wird die Juso-Initiative von 75% der Befragten abgelehnt.

Bemerkenswert ist der Altersgraben (15%-Pkte).

@peligro.bsky.social @lucasleemann.bsky.social

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

𝐌ä𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐫 𝐧𝐮𝐧 𝐚𝐮𝐜𝐡 𝐠𝐞𝐠𝐞𝐧 𝐒𝐞𝐫𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞-𝐂𝐢𝐭𝐨𝐲𝐞𝐧-𝐈𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞: Gemäss der 2. Welle der @20min.ch/Tamedia-Umfrage von @leewas.bsky.social ist die Zustimmung eingebrochen. Mit aktuell 26% Ja dürfte das Anliegen chancenlos sein.

Bemerkenswert ist der Meinungsumschwung bei den Männern

@lucasleemann.bsky.social
How are contemporary cleavage structures stabilized in times of declining mass social and political organizations?

In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.

tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
Educational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Educational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization - Volume 55
tinyurl.com
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social

𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET

@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.

👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
PhD Prep Talk: Switzerland
Meet an EUI Researcher and alumnus from your country​!
www.eui.eu
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social

German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
NEW -

Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa

- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
NEW -

Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa

- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

💥 💥 BREAKING: Der Schweizer Armeechef Thomas Süssli will kein Microsoft. 💥 💥

Süssli fordert:

➡️ eine Exitstrategie aus Microsoft:
➡️ eine IT-Infrastruktur für sensitive Daten
➡️ eine Schweizer Open-Source-Lösung.

(und OpenDesk von ZenDis😉)

Read the full story ⬇️
www.republik.ch/2025/10/31/d...

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Happy to share that my article with Miguel Rueda and Shuning Ge is out for early view at @bjpols.bsky.social.

We show that the level of aggregation at which electoral results are published affects election integrity.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Do More Disaggregated Electoral Results Deter Aggregation Fraud? | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Do More Disaggregated Electoral Results Deter Aggregation Fraud? - Volume 55
www.cambridge.org
I am delighted to share that Nobel laureates Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee will join our Department of Economics @econ.uzh.ch at the University of Zurich on July 1, 2026, as Lemann Foundation Professors of Economics.

🧵 1/7

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

...which neatly ties to research on the effect of prepaid postage in particular. We have not one but two papers here for you! One by Jenny Yin, Thomas Willi and @lucasleemann.bsky.social on the effect of prepaid postage on turnout in Switzerland

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Today is #WorldPostDay, marking the establishment of the Universal Postal Union—a UN agency coordinating postal policies globally. The post revolutionised communication and is an increasingly common voting method, so to mark the occasion, here are some of our recent articles on postal voting... 📫 ✉️
🚨 New(ish) Publication Alert! Delighted to see my article Credit Claiming in the EU @thejop.bsky.social I explore a classic question for accountability in Europe: when and why do govs claim credit for the work of the EU and shift blame onto Brussels to avoid responsibility? doi.org/10.1086/732970
Credit Claiming in the European Union | The Journal of Politics: Vol 87, No 3
Incumbents in multilevel systems are assumed to exploit uncertainty of responsibility by claiming credit and shifting blame, yet little is known about when and how they engage in these rhetorical stra...
doi.org
Very happy to be able to share the polling-level dataset on Indian Parliamentary Elections 2009, 2014, 2019 that we have been working on for more than a decade. Both the data and the data descriptor are open access: rdcu.be/eujHH

@statsvitenskap.bsky.social @unioslo-svfak.bsky.social
𝗚𝗲𝘀𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗵𝗲𝗶𝘁𝘀𝗸𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗻 – 𝗱𝗮𝘀 𝗺𝗶𝘁 𝗔𝗯𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗱𝗿ä𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗻𝗱𝘀𝘁𝗲 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗯𝗹𝗲𝗺 𝘂𝗻𝗱 𝗱𝗮𝘀 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝗵ä𝗹𝘁𝗻𝗶𝘀 𝘇𝘂𝗿 𝗘𝗨 𝗻𝗲𝘂 𝗶𝗻 𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗧𝗼𝗽3: Das und vieles mehr zeigt die neue @20min.ch -/Tamedia-Wahlumfrage von @leewas.bsky.social

cc @lucasleemann.bsky.social

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Dernier entré, Martin Pfister est le conseiller fédéral le plus populaire
Dernier entré, Martin Pfister est le conseiller fédéral le plus populaire
l.letemps.ch
What's the difference between @epssnet.bsky.social and the "old" EPSA, and why you should come to our conference in Belfast in June 2026: epssnet.org/uncategorize...
Difference Between EPSS and EPSA: What to Know for 2026
Confused about the difference between EPSS and EPSA? Learn how they differ in governance, structure, and their 2026 conferences.
epssnet.org

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

𝗠𝗲𝗵𝗿𝗵𝗲𝗶𝘁 𝗳ü𝗿 𝗘𝗶𝗻𝗵𝗲𝗶𝘁𝘀𝗸𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗸𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝗶 𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗪ä𝗵𝗹𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗿 𝘀𝗲𝗰𝗵𝘀 𝗴𝗿𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗻 𝗦𝗰𝗵𝘄𝗲𝗶𝘇𝗲𝗿 𝗣𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗶𝗲𝗻: Das und vieles mehr zeigen die Zusatzauswertungen in der @20min.ch -/Tamedia-Nachbefragung von LeeWas zu den eidgenössischen Volksabstimmungen vom 28. Sept. 2025.

cc @lucasleemann.bsky.social #chvote #abst25

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Die legendäre @leewas.bsky.social -Abstimmungsnadel tickt und tickt….

….mit aktuell knappem Ja zur E-ID (± 1.4%)

cc @tagesanzeiger.bsky.social
@peligro.bsky.social @marcbrup.bsky.social
@yannickwiget.bsky.social
@mathiaslutz.bsky.social #chvote #abst25 #EID

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Live-Hochrechnung zu den Abstimmungen:
Abschaffung Eigenmietwert – rund 60 Prozent ja.
E-ID – auf Messers Schneide. Jetzt 51 Prozent Nein, aber Fehlerbereich noch 2,5 Prozent. Alle Prognosen hier: www.tagesanzeiger.ch/karten-und-g...
Karten und Grafiken: Die Schweiz stimmt ab: Alle Resultate im Überblick
Die Stimmberechtigten entscheiden über die Abschaffung des Eigenmietwerts und die E-ID. Auch alle Ergebnisse der kantonalen Abstimmungen finden Sie in dieser Übersicht.
www.tagesanzeiger.ch

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Abschaffung des Eigenmietwerts: 62,9% JA
E-ID-Gesetz: 50,4% JA
So die ersten Prognosen unserer #Hochrechnungen zum #Abstimmungssonntag mit
@leewas.bsky.social

Liveprognosen verfolgen:
www.tagesanzeiger.ch/790131388382
#CHvote #Abst25 #Eigenmietwert #eID

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Die legendäre @leewas.bsky.social -Abstimmungsnadel tickt – mit Liveprognose in Echtzeit!

Jetzt den Abstimmungssonntag verfolgen: tagesanzeiger.ch

cc @lucasleemann.bsky.social #abst25 #chvote #Eigenmietwert #EID

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

Ballot after ballot, #directdemocracy shows us where representation did not work.

Take today's vote on a tax break for homeowners: @leewas.bsky.social polls suggest it is largely supported by homeowners, a group with a strong lobby. Renters tend to oppose it, with ≈60% being renters in Switzerland
The call for papers for the first ever EPSS conference 2026 in Belfast is open until November 7th 2025.

epssnet.org/belfast-2026/

@rdassonneville.bsky.social and I will be chairing the section on Electoral and Voting Behavior. We look forward to your submissions and to a fantastic conference!
🚨 New working paper alert 🚨
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴‍♂️🚴‍♂️🚴‍♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...

Reposted by Lucas Leemann

#POLITKOLUMNE: A plutocracy rather than a democracy? A person above the median income is electorally worth 1.16 times a pereson below the median.

In Swiss direct democracy, however, wins & defeats are distributed quite equally across income classes @leewas.bsky.social www.derbund.ch/politkolumne...
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!

In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....