Scholar

Antonio Fatás

H-index: 37
Economics 92%
Political science 5%
voxeu.org
Steven Kamin analyses how, in the months following 'Liberation Day', the dollar switched from rising during periods of market volatility to falling, and thus appeared to switch from a safe-haven to a 'risk-on' currency.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Graph of the VIX volatility index and DXY dollar index from 1 January to 26 August 2025. A dashed vertical line identifies 'Liberation Day'.

There is general agreement that a currency’s safe-haven status can be gauged by its response to changes in financial volatility. This column documents how, in the months following the Trump administration’s “Liberation Day” announcement, the dollar switched from rising during periods of market volatility to falling, and thus appeared to switch from a safe-haven to a ‘risk-on’ currency. Its reversion to traditional flight-to-safety behaviour in recent months may indicate that this ‘risk-on’ episode was a one-time event, but it is also possible that even as financial markets have calmed down, foreign entities are taking steps to reduce their dependence on the dollar for trade, payments, and investment.

Reposted by: Antonio Fatás

philipstephens.bsky.social
Blair role in Gaza politically crass and insulting to Palestinians. Yet I almost feel sorry for him. Most brilliant leader of his generation reduced to ventriloquist's dummy for Larry Ellison and lackey to Trump in desperate quest for relevance. Politics sometimes ends in tragedy as well as failure.
kclausing.bsky.social
🧵 (1/7) With @knittelmit.bsky.social and @cwolfram.bsky.social, happy to announce our new paper on “Who Bears the Burden of Climate Inaction?”, just posted for BPEA @brookings.edu.

We find large climate cost impacts that vary by both geography and income.

www.brookings.edu/articles/who...

by Menzie ChinnReposted by: Antonio Fatás

mchinn.bsky.social
Industrial, mfg prodn, retail sales all above consensus... #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

by Menzie ChinnReposted by: Antonio Fatás

mchinn.bsky.social
EJ Antoni says the recession is *here*!!! (as of August ***'24***) #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
hughrbrechin.bsky.social
good that Keir has broken his silence this morning to ... continue posting on a website run by a man who yesterday addressed a far right rally to call for his overthrow, while not in any way addressing said far right rally
A post this morning from Keir Starmer on Elon Musk's X in which he welcomes American financial investment into the UK and makes no comment on other matters

by Adam S. PosenReposted by: Antonio Fatás

adamposen.bsky.social
It appears that Lisa Cook held off "proving her innocence" because she thought (rightly) she shouldn't have to. To have the courage to do that when the US state is attacking you is pretty darn admirable.
cwarzel.bsky.social
I wrote about what I think is a genuinely revealing document of elite depravity and impunity. It is shocking and sickening. But it's also a crucial moment. We're about to see what happens when conspiracy theorists actually get what they asked for but it turns out not to be what they want.
You Really Need to See Epstein’s Birthday Book for Yourself
This time, the conspiracy theorists were right.
www.theatlantic.com
antoniofatas.bsky.social
I guess the father is smart enough and does not need an explanation??? IMF, you can do better [from the Finance and Development latest issue]

Reposted by: Antonio Fatás

sgerlach.bsky.social
In a paper presented at Jackson Hole, Emi Nakamura and her coauthors examine why central banks did not follow the Taylor rule when inflation rose sharply in 2021–22. The positive commentary the paper received prompted me to read it.
swissmacroandhistory.substack.com/p/comments-o...
Comments on Beyond the Taylor Rule
Credibility, expectations, and why central banks bent the rules
swissmacroandhistory.substack.com

Reposted by: Antonio Fatás

mcopelov.bsky.social
Congrats again to the elites who told us this guy was a credible Treasury Secretary because he went to the right schools & cocktail parties
alemanno.bsky.social
Wow. The EU was ready to sanction Google for abusing its ad monopoly today.

But it was blocked after pressure from EU Trade Commissioner @marossefcovic.bsky.social & the U.S. DoJ.

Europe just chose Washington’s corporate interests over its own citizens.

Unprecedented. Self-inflicted.

Reposted by: Antonio Fatás

filipecampante.bsky.social
Now that we're experiencing life under authoritarianism in the US, I'm struck by how it's a lot like living in a high-crime environment. (I grew up in Rio de Janeiro.) 1/

Reposted by: Antonio Fatás

voxeu.org
Digital currencies pegged to fiat money face a built-in tension between credibility and competition. @eduardoyeyati.bsky.social‬ & Sebastian Katz analyse competing frameworks in the #US and #China to address this
#stablecoin paradox.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Graph of stablecoin market growth vs US M2 and Treasury holdings, 2020-2025.

Digital currencies pegged to fiat money face a built-in tension between credibility and competition, creating a ‘stablecoin paradox’. This column analyses the competing frameworks of the US and China to address the paradox. The US (under the GENIUS Act) combines strict reserve rules for privately issued, fully backed dollar stablecoins with market incentives that encourage expansion. Meanwhile, China’s approach centres on a central bank digital currency deployed domestically and extended across borders. Further expansion of the digital currency system will require backstop access, global coordination on regulation, limits on intermediation, and integration with payment systems.
antoniofatas.bsky.social
They will be competitive but if regulations are relaxed in the US what is the advantage of issuing offshore stablecoins? Cross-border payments are not solved with stablecoins unless everyone adopts the same one. Or we create new rails that connect all of them - doubtful.
antoniofatas.bsky.social
But today US citizens can hold yield bank accounts abroad... if the other country allows them, which is not always obvious. Isn't the issue more domestic as stablecoins paying an interest will be a competitive alternative to bank deposits?

Reposted by: Antonio Fatás

jc-econ.bsky.social
Lisa D. Cook, Member, Federal Reserve Board of Governors

“President Trump purported to fire me “for cause” when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022.”

by Antonio FatásReposted by: Enrique Fatás

antoniofatas.bsky.social
Very good article by @martinsandbu.ft.com. I am still debating whether pragmatism now to prepare for a future confrontation might make sense. But when I hear European leaders praise Trump I do feel like the title of this article: they are selling our soul.
jaycshambaugh.bsky.social
This is something the Administration would know if they read Lisa Cook’s work instead of attacking her. Arguably, her research has never been more relevant to the Fed’s mission. One has to assume innovation and biz formation by immigrants is falling right now.
antoniofatas.bsky.social
Yes, and probably trying to distance himself from others. Not the first time he does it.
antoniofatas.bsky.social
The pressure on the independence of the US Federal Reserve is as bad as some of us had feared. I would love to understand what motivates this optimistic perspective from Raghuram Rajan

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