Caroline Krafft
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ckrafftc.bsky.social
Caroline Krafft
@ckrafftc.bsky.social
10K followers 7.5K following 240 posts

Economist, Associate Prof. @ Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota Development/Labor/Education/Gender/ECD/Inequality in the Middle East and North Africa.

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Economics 22%
Political science 22%
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ckrafftc.bsky.social
Caroline Krafft @ckrafftc.bsky.social · Mar 10
📣 New paper "Do employers discriminate against married women? Evidence from a field experiment in Egypt" published in the Journal of Development Economics! #EconSky #menasky

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
ABSTRACT This research submitted fictitious resumes to online job postings in Egypt, randomizing gender and marital status. More job postings explicitly required men (14 per cent) than women (4 per cent). Despite the gender discrimination in postings, women were only slightly less likely to receive callbacks than men, with only a small difference between single and married women. Differences in callbacks by sex and marital status were not statistically significant. Women and especially married women were, however, particularly likely to be asked for more information rather than scheduled for an interview.

Reposted by Stacie B. Dusetzina, Caroline Krafft, Christian E. Weller

maxboot.bsky.social
Max Boot @maxboot.bsky.social · 18h
“Research published on Thursday by economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Columbia University suggests that, through November 2025, 90 percent of the economic burden of the president’s tariffs fell on U.S. companies and consumers.” www.nytimes.com/2026/02/12/b...
Americans Are Paying the Bill for Tariffs, Despite Trump’s Claims
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, Caroline Krafft, David R. Miller , and 4 more

justinwolfers.bsky.social
Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 1d
cool, cool. so we are sort of like citizens, but not really?

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Jörg Oechssler

briancalbrecht.bsky.social
Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 1d
I'm super excited for my new paper with Alex Tabarrok
and Mark Whitmeyer.

tl;dr: price controls cause chaos. That chaos causes misallocation. We develop new tools to measure that misallocation, which is 1-9 the size of the Harberger triangle www.economicforces.xyz/p/price-cont...
Price controls cause chaos
Price controls are worse than you think
www.economicforces.xyz

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Raúl Pacheco-Vega

heatherrandell.bsky.social
Heather Randell @heatherrandell.bsky.social · 1d
Believe it or not, it’s nice here in winter too 🩵❄️🩵
Luminary Loppet on Lake of the Isles. Ice sculptures at the Minneapolis Institute of Art Pulling a sled through the city Walking on a frozen Lake Harriet

Reposted by Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan , and 30 more

ryancbriggs.net
Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 2d
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

dismalscientist86.bsky.social
Dani Sandler @dismalscientist86.bsky.social · 2d
New Census Working Paper: "A Shock by Any Other Name? Reconsidering the Impacts of Local Demand Shocks" by Sean Bassler, Kevin Rinz, David Wasser, and Abigail Wozniak

www.census.gov/library/work...
A Shock by Any Other Name? Reconsidering the Impacts of Local Demand Shocks
Different local labor demand shocks lead to different employment and migration responses. Bartik shocks are associated with significant effects on both margins.
www.census.gov

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Caroline Krafft

claireadida.bsky.social
Claire Adida @claireadida.bsky.social · 2d
The home healthcare workforce is disproportionately comprised of immigrants, and it's certainly not because they take jobs US-born folks want. As a result, "a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide."
Is Immigration Good for Health? The Effect of Immigration on Older Adult Mortality in the United States
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

historleans.bsky.social
Rebecca Brückmann @historleans.bsky.social · 2d
Dear Blueskies, question: could you recommend a recent-ish, peer reviewed study on implicit/unconscious bias in faculty hiring? I know the classics, but I am wondering what new(ish) research is out there that could be used in a workshop setting. Thank you very much! #AcademicSky #EduSky 🗃️

Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, Peter Thorne, Caroline Krafft , and 7 more

chanda.blacksky.app
Chanda Prescod-Weinstein 🌌 @chanda.blacksky.app · 2d
Friends from Minneapolis reporting to me that things are at the point where folks are being hidden in other people's houses and we are in the "again" part of "never again" which the "never" was supposed to preclude

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

jbf1755.bsky.social
Joanne Freeman @jbf1755.bsky.social · 3d
Kids of immigrants aren’t going to school out of fear of being grabbed.

Not only no school, but also, no free meals.

So folks in Minnesota are distributing food.

(gift article)

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/d...
Hungry Families, ICE and Secret Grocery Networks in Minneapolis
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Aaron Sojourner

jc-econ.bsky.social
Julia Coronado @jc-econ.bsky.social · 3d
The Employment Cost Index shows continued deceleration in compensation growth in Q4. All metrics of wage growth are slowing even as inflation has gotten stuck confirming that labor demand < greatly reduced labor supply

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

robertscotthorton.bsky.social
Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 3d
President Donald Trump's tariffs cost the average American household $1,000 last year, according to new research from the nonpartisan Tax Foundation. abcnews.go.com/Business/tru...
Trump's tariffs cost American households $1,000 last year: Research group
President Donald Trump’s tariffs cost the average American household $1,000 last year, according to new research from the nonpartisan Tax Foundation.
abcnews.go.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

repec-nep-ara.bsky.social
NEP-ARA: MENA - Middle East and North Africa @repec-nep-ara.bsky.social · 3d
EVOLUTION OF THE STRUCTURE AND QUALITY OF EMPLOYMENT IN EGYPT, 2012-2023: Ragui Assaad
NEP/RePEc link
to paper
d.repec.org

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

governorwalz.mn.gov
Governor Tim Walz @governorwalz.mn.gov · 3d
This is obviously not targeted enforcement. And we still don’t know how many children they’ve taken.

www.cbsnews.com/news/ice-arr...
Less than 14% of those arrested by ICE in Trump's 1st year back in office had violent criminal records, document shows
The official DHS statistics, which had not been previously reported, provide the most detailed look yet into who ICE has arrested during the Trump administration's crackdown.
www.cbsnews.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

repec-nep-ara.bsky.social
NEP-ARA: MENA - Middle East and North Africa @repec-nep-ara.bsky.social · 3d
The Impact of Early Childhood Care and Education on Maternal Time Use in Egypt: Ruotong Li
NEP/RePEc link
to paper
d.repec.org

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

capolicylab.bsky.social
The California Policy Lab @capolicylab.bsky.social · 4d
#HiringAlert: The California Policy Lab is hiring for a mid- or advanced-career Researcher, focused on labor economics. First review is Feb 27th. Hybrid in Los Angeles, or remote. Full posting: capolicylab.org/careers/rese...
Sign says "WE'RE HIRING!" Researcher (Labor Economics) First review: Feb 27th

Reposted by Joe R. Feagin, David M. Farrell, Steve Peers , and 17 more

reichlinmelnick.bsky.social
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 4d
In the last month ICE has bought warehouses in:

- Hagerstown, MD: $102 million
- Surprise, AZ: $70 million
- Hamburg, PA: $87 million
- Tremont, PA: $120 million
- San Antonio, TX: $82 million
- El Paso, TX: $123 million
- Social Circle, GA: price unknown

This is unprecedented.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

jomichell.bsky.social
Jo Michell @jomichell.bsky.social · 4d
tag yourself

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Sarah Burgard

um-psc.bsky.social
UM Population Studies Center @um-psc.bsky.social · 4d
ICYMI: International migration is one of the most powerful tools for poverty reduction and economic development. This @voxdev.bsky.social review by @profdeaner.bsky.social synthesizes rigorous quantitative evidence on the impact of migration on origin countries. myumi.ch/VVmGx
International Migration
International migration is one of the most powerful tools available for poverty reduction and economic development. This review synthesises rigorous quantitative evidence on the impact of migration on...
myumi.ch

Reposted by Hyun‐Jung Kim, Caroline Krafft, Valerie Mueller

adrianna.bsky.social
Adrianna McIntyre @adrianna.bsky.social · 4d
“We measure the impact of increased immigration on mortality among elderly Americans, who rely on the immigrant-intensive [health care] sectors… [we find] striking effects on mortality: a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide.”

Reposted by Nandita Sharma, Mark A. Lemley, Will Jennings , and 6 more

bencollins.bsky.social
Tim Onion @bencollins.bsky.social · 4d
It's not even midnight and we're already at "Deport Elmo."
Elmo @elmo · 1h That Bunny was AMAZING. Elmo thinks he should be called Good Bunny! Elmo loves you, Mr. Good Bunny! ❤️🎶🐰 Based Yankee @thebasedyankee You and Bad Bunny should be deported

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

mprnews.org
MPR News @mprnews.org · 5d
The state's exports in the third quarter of 2025 were down nearly 14 percent — or $964 million — compared to that period the year prior. The bulk of that drop was due to tariffs and strained relationships with Minnesota's usual trade partners.
Minnesota experiences third quarter drop in exports
Minnesota’s exports were down nearly 14 percent or $964 million in the third quarter of 2025 compared to a year prior. That's according to data released by the state Department of Employment and Econo...
www.mprnews.org

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

stephenniem.bsky.social
Dr. Stephennie Mulder @stephenniem.bsky.social · 5d
oooh we are posting super bowls?

As a specialist in Islamic ceramics *cracks knuckles* I present this fabulous 11th c. lustre painted bowl from Fatimid Cairo depicting a Coptic priest. Its white glaze imitates Chinese porcelain and the lustre technique was invented in Iraq a century earlier.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Janet Murray

saraalfageeh.bsky.social
Sara Alfageeh @saraalfageeh.bsky.social · 6d
Job offer!!
I’m helping a PBS series look for a social media manager/content creator for an upcoming promotional campaign. The start date is ASAP, and a project timeline that currently goes to July.

This is for a series on American Muslim history, so candidates with cultural familiarity preferred!

Reposted by Richard E. Lenski, Caroline Krafft, Jennifer Clark , and 3 more

neorsd.org
NE Ohio Regional Sewer District @neorsd.org · 7d
another year of us not running a super bowl ad

Reposted by Timothy J. Bartik, Caroline Krafft

upjohninstitute.bsky.social
Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 7d
Our own @mmilleradams.bsky.social and @timbartik.bsky.social have a new piece in @bridgemi.com examining the economics of tuition-free college. By their reckoning, the cost-benefit ratio of free college is nearly unmatched.

Read more: bridgemi.com/guest-commen...

#highereducation, #michigan,
Opinion | Investing in tuition-free college can be a good economic bet for Michigan - Bridge Michigan
Having more educated workers strengthens communities, making it easier to attract new businesses and enabling existing employers to improve productivity and expand.
bridgemi.com

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Ben H. Ansell, Matthew Bunn , and 38 more

victorerikray.bsky.social
Victor Ray @victorerikray.bsky.social · 7d
I do want to shout-out my fellow sociologists, who have collectively created a discipline so woke that not a single one of our introductory textbooks can make it past Florida's censors.

Great work everyone.
The Board of Governors decided, unilaterally, that no published textbook in the field of sociology could be used in compliance with the law for an Intro to Sociology class. None. Victor: There's not a single existing textbook on the market that could be used that would qualify under state law? Zachary: Correct. Victor: I'm sorry, that's kind of funny. Like, the absurdity of not a single sociology textbook getting past the censors. I mean, it makes me kind of proud of our colleagues, but...

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Gerald Friedman

aaronsojourner.org
Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 7d
Another delayed #JobsReport Friday to all who mourn

Remember when our federal government was run in such a way that the we learned about the health of the labor market in a predictable, regular way?

That was early 2025 and before.

Reposted by Katharine Hayhoe, Richard S.J. Tol, Dorothy Bishop , and 46 more

histoftech.bsky.social
jennifer uncoolidge @histoftech.bsky.social · 7d
No joke: I got angry hate mail today for writing an obituary of a Black woman scientist—because the person felt she did didn’t deserve the recognition.

Which just makes me want to share it again: www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Gladys Mae West obituary: mathematician who pioneered GPS technology
She made key contributions to US cold-war science despite facing huge barriers as a Black woman.
www.nature.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Trevon D. Logan

aaronsojourner.org
Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 7d
Things we learned about the labor market in official data releases today:

- new unemployment claims up 11%

- job openings down 6%